 |
| Dragoon Mtns of southeastern Arizona, June 2017 |
After several quiet years, Arizona has had a very active
wildfire season. Halfway through 2017, just over 352,000 acres have been burned
in Arizona by wildfires of >100 acres in size (Inciweb for Arizona: https://inciweb.nwcg.gov/state/3/).
This was the worst fire season since the record burns of 2011, and is almost 4
times as many acres burned than in 2013 (Table 1;
Southwest Coordination Center: https://gacc.nifc.gov/swcc,
accessed July 12, 2017). While the worst part of the fire season is likely
behind us, based on recent years we can expect to see more wildfires in the
fall. Most of the 2017 burned acreage has been on land managed by the U.S.
Forest Service (USFS), followed by Arizona State lands (AZFD), Bureau of Indian
Affairs (BIA), and Bureau of Land Management (BLM) (Figure 1).
As the monsoon season ramps up, it is time to be cognizant
of potential post-fire flooding and debris flows. Both floods and debris flows
pose significant hazards to human health, property and infrastructure, and both
carry a significant amount of sediment, woody material and rocks. Debris flows
can be more dangerous, however, as they resemble slurries of dense, fast-moving
concrete that carry more sediment and woody debris and larger caliber rocks
(maybe up to basketball sized rocks in floods and car or truck sized boulders
in debris flows).
 |
| Proportion of land burn by wildfires in the first half of 2017. |
Yearly total
|
Total acres burned by wildfires >100
ac
|
2012
|
163,120
|
2013
|
95,105
|
2014
|
207,209
|
2015
|
141,413
|
2016
|
293,674
|
July 12, 2017
|
352,101
|
Wildfires significantly impact watershed hydrology, causing
much more runoff to occur and frequently triggering post-fire floods and debris
flows. In the absence of wildfire, unburned vegetation intercepts raindrops,
mitigating the impacts of high-velocity drops on soils. Depending on the burn
severity of the wildfire, interception of rainfall by plants can be severely reduced
or completely eliminated. At the same time, infiltration of water into the soil
is impeded by the presence of ash and fire-related changes to soils (e.g. hyper-dry
soils, hydrophobicity, and the destruction of organic matter). These changes result
in increased runoff volumes and velocities such that smaller, short-lived monsoon
storms can generate tremendous runoff, flooding, and debris flows, and do a
huge amount of geomorphic work (i.e. erosion and transportation of sediment) in
a very short period of time.
Over the past several years, AZGS has worked with US
Geological Survey researchers to assess geomorphic responses (no
response/flood/debris flow) of burned basins to rainfall events. The objective;
to better understand what intensity level of rainfall triggers post-fire debris
flows. These data can inform the National Weather Service decision-making in
issuing formal warnings.
This summer I worked with Dr. Luke McGuire (UA Geosciences) to
instrument five, small (~< 1 sq. mile) burned watersheds on the Pinal Fire
near Globe to monitor the timing of post-fire debris flows in relation to
rainfall. Without information regarding the timing of flow, the assumption is that
the triggering rainfall intensity is the peak intensity. A more likely scenario,
however, is that post-fire debris flows are triggered before peak rainfall
intensity. Data from Dr. McGuire’s study will help us refine those triggering
rainfall intensity thresholds.
If you live downslope from federal lands burned by wildfires,
contact your county emergency management office to find out if you are in
danger from potential post-fire floods or debris flows. This information will
have been determined by the U.S. Forest Service’s Burned Area Emergency
Response (BAER) team (https://gacc.nifc.gov/swcc/information/learn_more/baer.htm). If you are in an area of concern, contact your local
National Resource Conservation Service agent to find out what mitigation
measures, if any, are appropriate for your property. You should also consider
buying flood insurance immediately; if you are below a burned area on federal
lands, there is no waiting period for flood insurance to take effect.
Remember to stay
safe, and don’t enter flowing washes or drive around barricades.
Post by Ann Youberg
Wildfire in the Dragoon Mountains photograph by Charles Ferguson
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